Growth Factor of Daily New Cases
Growth factor is the factor by which a quantity multiplies itself over time. The formula used is?every day’s cases?/?cases on the previous day. For example, a quantity growing by 7% every period (in this case daily) has a growth factor of 1.07.
A growth factor?above 1 indicates an increase, whereas one which remains?between 0 and 1 it is a sign of decline, with the quantity eventually becoming zero, whereas a growth factor constantly above 1 could signal exponential growth. The study shows decline in China cases.
Virus causes mild disease in four out of five people infected: WHO
The head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said Chinese medical data shows that more than 80 percent of patients have mild symptoms and will recover, while 14 percent suffer from severe complications such as pneumonia, 5 percent are in critical condition and 2 percent die from the disease.
“It appears that COVID-19 is not as deadly as other coronaviruses, including SARS and MERS,”?Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told reporters in Geneva, adding that?officials were starting to get a clearer picture of the outbreak.
The UN health agency’s chief also said that children were not suffering from COVID-19 the same as adults and that the risk of death increases the older you are.
Chinese doctors ‘using plasma therapy’ on patients
Plasma therapy seems to be working quite well, and every cured patient is a potential plasma donor with antibodies.
Doctors in Shanghai are using infusions of blood plasma from people who have recovered from the coronavirus to treat those still battling the infection, reporting some encouraging preliminary results, said Lu Hongzhou, professor and co-director of the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Centre.
According to Hongzhou, the hospital had set up a special clinic to administer plasma therapy and was selecting patients who were willing to donate. “We are positive that this method can be very effective in our patients,” he said.
Speaking to reporters in Geneva, Mike Ryan,?the head of WHO’s health emergencies programme,?said using convalescent plasma was a “very valid” approach to test, but that it has to be carefully timed to maximise the boost to a patient’s immunity.
“You are essentially giving the new victim’s immune system a boost of antibodies to hopefully get them through the very difficult phase,” Ryan said, cautioning, however, that the method is not always successful.
Trade Show Postponements
With Chinese and international authorities very focused on containment, there is a growing consensus amongst the international organizers that this situation will lead to widespread postponements for shows scheduled in February and, most likely, in March.? Michael Kruppe, general manager at Shanghai New International Expo Centre Co., says most, and probably all, public venues in China — including Shanghai and SNIEC — will not hold shows in February, and there are rumors it might affect March shows as well. At Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre, organizers are closely monitoring the situation, says Monica Lee-Muller, managing director. At this time, two public exhibitions have been postponed: The Pet Show and the Education and Careers Expo, both originally scheduled for February. “We have stepped up our hygiene measures and will continue to serve other confirmed events,” adds Lee-Muller.
On Jan. 29, the SPS – Industrial Automation Fair Guangzhou (SIAF) and concurrent Asiamold fairs announced that its?2020 editions (originally scheduled for Feb. 26-28) will be postponed until further notice. Domotex asia/Chinafloor has also postponed its show, first scheduled for March 24-26, to a later date.
The International Exhibition of Inventions held annually in the Swiss city of Geneva has been postponed by six months due to the coronavirus epidemic, according to its organizers. “The exhibition management has chosen to be wise and decided to postpone the largest event of its kind in the world until September,” it said in a statement, citing difficulties for inventors planning their trips.
The organizer of WieTec 2020 CHC Expo continues to closely monitor the developments of the Novel Coronavirus. As the Organizer we are closely aligned with the efforts by the World Health Organization (WHO) to control and limit the spread of this infectious disease. In the light of an announcement of the WHO on the 30th of January declaring the coronavirus outbreak a global health emergency, WieTec 2020 which was planned to be held from 3 to 5 June, 2020 at the Shanghai National Exhibition and Convention Centre, will now hold its event from August 25 to August 27, 2020.
Although we know that this is disappointing, of course, we always put the health and safety of our exhibitors, visitors, members and staff first. Like many trade shows faced with similar decisions, we have opted to postpone our event until later in the year.
The venue will stay the same and we will keep you fully informed of any further developments. We would like to take this opportunity to thank you all for your ongoing support and understanding which has been invaluable.